Yesterday, I attended The Fourteenth Annual POWER Conference on Energy Policy and Research hosted by the Center for Study of Energy Markets (CSEM).

Suffice it to say that it was very high level.  Economists presented their findings including sophisticated regression analysis and lots of numbers, charts and graphs.  Wow, was it detailed and math heavy?

What was the takeaway?  There is much more to energy policy issues than is reported in the news, shown in oil and natural gas commercials or chanted in drill, baby, drill rallies.

Here is a video that shows every president from Nixon to Bush 43 talking about Energy Independence:

http://endependence.info/research/videos-c-12-v-65.html

Now, President Obama is making energy policy a major focus of his budget, intending to turn talk about energy independence into action.

When energy policy is being shaped by governments (local, state or federal) and public utility regulators, they need information about what works and what doesn’t work (or what might work and what might not work).  This is where the economists come in with their complex formulas and statistical analysis.

What question needs to be answered, what data is available, what data needs to be included in the study, what needs to be excluded, what time period is relevant, what was going on at the time that would skew the results, etc., etc., etc.  After they have that figured out, then they have to reduce it to a formula and use computers to run the data through the formula.  Here is a sample of the topics:

“Regulation, Allocation, and Leakage in Cap-and-Trade Markets for CO2“

“How Do Firms Exercise Market Power in Hydro Dominated Markets?“

“What Do Emissions Markets Deliver and to Whom? Evidence from Southern California’s NOx Trading Program“

Presentations were made by the economists and consultants and then “discussants” (other experts in the field) made suggestions for improvement or further study.  You should have been there.

Actually, we should be thankful that there are people working so hard on these and other energy issues.  Their work should lead to better decisions by policy makers, if they base their policies on science instead of knee jerk reactions and political expediency.  That is a big IF.

Endependence is energy independence that ends dependence on polluting fuels.

Every barrel of oil we don’t consume reduces the market and political power of nations such as Saudi Arabia, no matter where that barrel would have come from. Likewise, every barrel we don’t consume helps the environment and slows global warming, and whether it is foreign or domestic oil makes no difference. Energy conservation is what’s important. Energy independence doesn’t matter. -By Roger Sant and Michael Kinsley Sunday, December 14, 2008; Washington Post

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/12/12/AR2008121203280.html

Our sentiments exactly, energy independence doesn’t matter.  Energy Independence is politician speak for “we’re not really going to do anything about our energy challenges.”

That is why we are starting a War for Endependence, the key ingredient of which is ending dependence on polluting fuels.

Sant and Kinsley make the point quite well that the only true independence from “foreign oil” or let’s say “foreign oil from countries we don’t like” will come from reducing our oil consumption to the point where we are only using our own oil or oil from countries we do like.

So, how do we use an ever decreasing amount of oil while keeping a vibrant economy and a good standard of living.  The answer is combination of conservation and substituting renewable energy for oil and other polluting fuels.

Plot it out.  Personal, Local, State and Federal.

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